Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000153 0.000170 0.000188 0.000208 0.000231 0.000256 0.000285
2025-04-13 0.000115 0.000137 0.000163 0.000195 0.000234 0.000282 0.000343
2025-04-20 0.000097 0.000122 0.000153 0.000195 0.000249 0.000319 0.000417
2025-04-27 0.000087 0.000114 0.000149 0.000199 0.000268 0.000362 0.000501
2025-05-04 0.000077 0.000105 0.000142 0.000198 0.000278 0.000394 0.000575
2025-05-11 0.000070 0.000099 0.000139 0.000200 0.000292 0.000431 0.000661
2025-05-18 0.000064 0.000092 0.000133 0.000198 0.000301 0.000461 0.000738
2025-05-25 0.000059 0.000087 0.000128 0.000197 0.000308 0.000489 0.000817
2025-06-01 0.000054 0.000081 0.000123 0.000194 0.000313 0.000514 0.000893
2025-06-08 0.000049 0.000075 0.000116 0.000187 0.000311 0.000526 0.000946
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000073 0.000115 0.000190 0.000324 0.000565 0.001056
2025-06-22 0.000044 0.000071 0.000114 0.000194 0.000340 0.000612 0.001188
2025-06-29 0.000040 0.000066 0.000109 0.000188 0.000339 0.000629 0.001266
2025-07-06 0.000036 0.000060 0.000101 0.000178 0.000330 0.000628 0.001308
2025-07-13 0.000034 0.000058 0.000099 0.000179 0.000340 0.000668 0.001446
2025-07-20 0.000033 0.000056 0.000098 0.000182 0.000356 0.000724 0.001632
2025-07-27 0.000031 0.000054 0.000096 0.000182 0.000364 0.000761 0.001780
2025-08-03 0.000029 0.000052 0.000095 0.000183 0.000377 0.000812 0.001974
2025-08-10 0.000028 0.000050 0.000092 0.000182 0.000383 0.000848 0.002137
2025-08-17 0.000026 0.000048 0.000090 0.000180 0.000389 0.000884 0.002307
2025-08-24 0.000025 0.000046 0.000087 0.000178 0.000392 0.000914 0.002465
2025-08-31 0.000023 0.000043 0.000083 0.000172 0.000386 0.000920 0.002555
2025-09-07 0.000022 0.000042 0.000082 0.000174 0.000399 0.000979 0.002822